In previous articles, I have looked at the new-ish IBJJF seeding system as a way to predict match outcomes at the IBJJF No Gi Pans . I used IBJJF medal results to rank fighters after the 2019 World Championships . I also created a machine learning model to help predict who will win a match up at the ADCC tournament . Today, we (yes a collab project between myself and Dan Tsinis ) are introducing the Elo Rating System for Brazilian Jiu Jitsu as a way to rank fighters and predict the probability of fighters winning in a potential match up. Below are the top 50 pound for pound competitors and the top 10-20 by each weight class. The ratings only include the last three years (2017-2019) and each year has a seasonal weight. This is not reflective of the best competitors of all time, but the most accurate of who competed the most in the last year. These are the current 2019 year-end standings. Predictions for First Round Matches at IBJJF Europeans 2020 With our Elo rating sys...
I'm a Data Scientist by day, Jiu Jitsu student by night. BJJ Black Belt at Crazy 88 in Baltimore, MD. 9 years of competing at the IBJJF Masters World Champion = 5 Gold (2020 Brown, 2018 Purple, 2017 Blue, 2015 Blue Weight +Open), 3 Silver, 2 Bronze Open. 2019 IBJJF Adult World Medalist Purple Belt. As a data scientist, I work in computer vision, natural language processing, and geek out over sport stats. This blog brings a data-driven perspective to available player, match, and tournament data.